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dc.contributor.authorBitner-Gregersen, Elzbieta M.
dc.contributor.authorVanem, Erik
dc.contributor.authorGramstad, Odin
dc.contributor.authorHørte, Torfinn
dc.contributor.authorAarnes, Ole Johan
dc.contributor.authorReistad, Magnar
dc.contributor.authorBreivik, Øyvind
dc.contributor.authorMagnusson, Anne Karin
dc.contributor.authorNatvig, Bent
dc.date.accessioned2019-05-28T12:58:54Z
dc.date.available2019-05-28T12:58:54Z
dc.date.issued2018-02
dc.PublishedBitner-Gregersen EM, Vanem E, Gramstad O, Hørte T, Aarnes OJ, Reistad M, Breivik Ø, Magnusson AK, Natvig B. Climate change and safe design of ship structures. Ocean Engineering. 2018;149:226-237eng
dc.identifier.issn0029-8018en_US
dc.identifier.issn1873-5258en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1956/19774
dc.description.abstractThe paper addresses projected changes of wave climate in the North Atlantic and their impact on the safe design of ships, with a particular focus given on associated uncertainties. The Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) uses four scenarios for future greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere called Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP). Two of these scenarios are applied to investigate how sensitive the future North Atlantic wave climate is to the emissions they represent. Winds obtained from six global climate models have been used to simulate waves for a historical period at the end of last century and to project waves for a future period towards the end of this century for these two scenarios. Based on these projections, possible changes in extreme wind and waves are investigated and the associated uncertainties are discussed. The occurrence of rogue-prone sea states which may trigger generation of rogue waves in the past and future climate is also studied. It is shown how the scientific findings on uncertainties related to climate change projections and rogue waves can be incorporated in the risk-based approach used in current design practice of tankers, and ship structures in general. The potential effect of climate change on the safety level of current design practice for tankers is demonstrated. Finally, the paper discusses how structural design of ships can be upgraded to account for climate change and rogue waves without necessarily leading to significant economic consequences.en_US
dc.language.isoengeng
dc.publisherElsevieren_US
dc.rightsAttribution CC BY-NC-NDeng
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/eng
dc.subjectClimate changeeng
dc.subjectWaveseng
dc.subjectUncertaintieseng
dc.subjectShip designeng
dc.titleClimate change and safe design of ship structuresen_US
dc.typePeer reviewed
dc.typeJournal article
dc.date.updated2019-01-14T14:22:06Z
dc.description.versionacceptedVersionen_US
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2017 Elsevieren_US
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2017.12.023
dc.identifier.cristin1591215
dc.source.journalOcean Engineering
dc.source.pagenumber226-237
dc.identifier.citationOcean Engineering. 2018;149:226-237
dc.source.volume149


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