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dc.contributor.authorHatlem, Sirinnaeng
dc.date.accessioned2014-09-04T09:04:47Z
dc.date.available2014-09-04T09:04:47Z
dc.date.issued2014-05-31eng
dc.date.submitted2014-05-31eng
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1956/8407
dc.description.abstractSince 1950, the changes in fertility behavior in the Thai population have proved to be very interesting. Between the years of 1950 to 1957, the government invoked a pro-natalist policy and created the Married organization where the fertility rate has increased in that period. In 1960, the government concerned about the increasing in fertility rate, which led to the introduction to the National Family Planning Program, under the Ministry of Public Health, which promoted the voluntary use of contraception. Since then the fertility pattern has entered controlled fertility". To date, fertility continues to decline and is currently below replacement level. The changes in fertility rates, and the shifts in government policy, require research into the causes of the factors influencing the total fertility rate (TFR). In this study, a Thai TFR model is constructed by using system dynamics modelling concept", to investigate TFR behavior, including the effects of government policy. This system dynamics model has been examined and analyzed, which leads to the conclusion that the increase in fertility rates in 1950s were caused by the government pro-natalist policy. On the other hand, the later decline in fertility was influenced by the intensity of the support for the government's anti-natalist policy (National Economic and Social Development Plan [NESDP], 1970). Finally, this research provides the policy recommendation, which aims to support child bearing cost. This policy leads couple to perceive the decline in cost, they will then prefer more children. However, the government should also focus on the promotion of population quality, ensure that all births are desirable and safe, mothers and babies are provided with quality services.en_US
dc.format.extent2644305 byteseng
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfeng
dc.language.isoengeng
dc.publisherThe University of Bergeneng
dc.subjectThe decline in fertility rateseng
dc.subjectFertility rates in Thailandeng
dc.subjectFertility rates in Asiaeng
dc.subjectSystem dynamicseng
dc.subjectThe case of Thailandeng
dc.titleExploring the decline in fertility rates with system dynamics: The case of Thailandeng
dc.typeMaster thesisen_US
dc.rights.holderCopyright the author. All rights reserveden_US
dc.description.degreeMaster of Philosophy in System Dynamics
dc.description.localcodeGEO-SD350
dc.description.localcodeMASV-SYSDY
dc.subject.nus733199eng
fs.subjectcodeGEO-SD350


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