• Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack thereof) come from? 

      Mohino, Elsa; Keenlyside, Noel; Pohlmann, Holger (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016-12)
      Previous works suggest decadal predictions of Sahel rainfall could be skillful. However, the sources of such skill are still under debate. In addition, previous results are based on short validation periods (i.e. less than ...
    • Influence of synoptic weather patterns on solar irradiance variability in northern Europe 

      Parding, Kajsa; Liepert, Beate G.; Hinkelman, Laura M.; Ackerman, Thomas P.; Dagestad, Knut-Frode; Olseth, Jan Asle (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016-05)
      Observations have revealed strong variability of shortwave (SW) irradiance at Earth’s surface on decadal time scales, referred to as global dimming and brightening. Previous studies have attributed the dimming and brightening ...
    • The Role of Atlantic Heat Transport in Future Arctic Winter Sea Ice Loss 

      Årthun, Marius; Eldevik, Tor; Smedsrud, Lars H. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019-05-14)
      During recent decades Arctic sea ice variability and retreat during winter have largely been a result of variable ocean heat transport (OHT). Here we use the Community Earth System Model (CESM) large ensemble simulation ...
    • Spatial Patterns, Mechanisms, and Predictability of Barents Sea Ice Change 

      Efstathiou, Evangelia; Eldevik, Tor; Årthun, Marius; Lind, Sigrid (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      Recent Arctic winter sea ice loss has been most pronounced in the Barents Sea. Here we explore the spatial structure of Barents Sea ice change as observed over the last 40 years. The dominant mode of winter sea ice ...