• Attribution of multi-annual to decadal changes in the climate system: The Large Ensemble Single Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (LESFMIP) 

      Smith, Doug M.; Gillett, Nathan P.; Simpson, Isla R.; Athanasiadis, Panos J.; Baehr, Johanna; Bethke, Ingo; Bilge, Tarkan Aslan; Bonnet, Rémy; Boucher, Olivier; Findell, Kirsten L.; Gastineau, Guillaume; Gualdi, Silvio; Hermanson, Leon; Leung, L. Ruby; Mignot, Juliette; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Osprey, Scott; Otterå, Odd Helge; Persad, Geeta G.; Scaife, Adam A.; Schmidt, Gavin A.; Shiogama, Hideo; Sutton, Rowan T.; Swingedouw, Didier; Yang, Shuting; Zhou, Tianjun; Ziehn, Tilo (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      Multi-annual to decadal changes in climate are accompanied by changes in extreme events that cause major impacts on society and severe challenges for adaptation. Early warnings of such changes are now potentially possible ...
    • North Atlantic storm track changes during the Last Glacial Maximum recorded by Alpine speleothems 

      Luetscher, Marc; Boch, Ronny; Sodemann, Harald; Spötl, Christoph; Cheng, Hai; Edwards, Roger Lawrence; Frisia, Silvia; Hof, Florian; Müller, Wolfgang A. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015-02-27)
      The European Alps are an effective barrier for meridional moisture transport and are thus uniquely placed to record shifts in the North Atlantic storm track pattern associated with the waxing and waning of Late-Pleistocene ...
    • Predictable Variations of the Carbon Sinks and Atmospheric CO2 Growth in a Multi-Model Framework 

      Ilyina, Tatiana; Hongmei, Li; Spring, Aaron; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Bopp, Laurent; Chikamoto, Megumi O.; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Dobrynin, Mikhail; Dunne, John P. Patrick; Fransner, Filippa; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Lee, Woo-Sung; Lovenduski, Nicole; Merryfield, William J.; Mignot, Juliette; Park, Jong-Yeon; Séférian, Roland; Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel; Watanabe, Michio; Yeager, Stephen G. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Inter-annual to decadal variability in the strength of the land and ocean carbon sinks impede accurate predictions of year-to-year atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) growth rate. Such information is crucial to verify the ...