Blar i Bergen Open Research Archive på forfatter "Payne, Mark R."

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    • Attuning to a changing ocean 

      Stenseth, Nils Christian; Payne, Mark R.; Bonsdorff, Erik; Dankel, Dorothy Jane; Durant, Joel Marcel; Anderson, Leif G.; Armstrong, Claire W.; Blenckner, Thorsten; Brakstad, Ailin; Dupont, Sam; Eikeset, Anne Maria; Goksøyr, Anders; Jónsson, Steingrímur; Kuparinen, Anna; Våge, Kjetil; Österblom, Henrik; Paasche, Øyvind (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      The ocean is a lifeline for human existence, but current practices risk severely undermining ocean sustainability. Present and future social−ecological challenges necessitate the maintenance and development of knowledge ...

    • Integrating human dimensions in decadal-scale prediction for marine social–ecological systems: lighting the grey zone 

      Melbourne-Thomas, Jess; Tommasi, Desiree; Gehlen, Marion; Murphy, Eugene J.; Beckensteiner, Jennifer; Bravo, Francisco; Eddy, Tyler D; Fischer, Mibu; Fulton, Elizabeth; Gogina, Mayya; Hofmann, Eileen; Ito, Maysa; Mynott, Sara; Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly; Osiecka, Anna N; Payne, Mark R.; Saldívar-Lucio, Romeo; Scherrer, Kim Josefin Niklasdotter (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)
      The dynamics of marine systems at decadal scales are notoriously hard to predict—hence references to this timescale as the “grey zone” for ocean prediction. Nevertheless, decadal-scale prediction is a rapidly developing ...

    • Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions 

      O'Kane, Terence J.; Scaife, Adam A.; Kushnir, Yochanan; Brookshaw, Anca; Buontempo, Carlo; Carlin, David; Connell, Richenda K.; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Dunstone, Nick; Förster, Kristian; Graça, Antonio; Hobday, Alistair J.; Kitsios, Vassili; van der Laan, Larissa; Lockwood, Julia; Merryfield, William J.; Paxian, Andreas; Payne, Mark R.; Reader, M. Catherine; Saville, Geoffrey R.; Smith, Doug; Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan; Caltabiano, Nico; Carman, Jessie; Hawkins, Ed; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Kumar, Arun; Matei, Daniela; Pohlmann, Holger; Power, Scott; Raphael, Marilyn; Sparrow, Michael; Wu, Bo (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)
      Following efforts from leading centres for climate forecasting, sustained routine operational near-term climate predictions (NTCP) are now produced that bridge the gap between seasonal forecasts and climate change projections ...

    • Skilful decadal-scale prediction of fish habitat and distribution shifts 

      Payne, Mark R.; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Matei, Daniela; Miesner, Anna K.; Yang, Shuting; Yeager, Stephen G. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      Many fish and marine organisms are responding to our planet’s changing climate by shifting their distribution. Such shifts can drive international conflicts and are highly problematic for the communities and businesses ...