• Predictable Variations of the Carbon Sinks and Atmospheric CO2 Growth in a Multi-Model Framework 

      Ilyina, Tatiana; Hongmei, Li; Spring, Aaron; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Bopp, Laurent; Chikamoto, Megumi O.; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Dobrynin, Mikhail; Dunne, John P. Patrick; Fransner, Filippa; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Lee, Woo-Sung; Lovenduski, Nicole; Merryfield, William J.; Mignot, Juliette; Park, Jong-Yeon; Séférian, Roland; Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel; Watanabe, Michio; Yeager, Stephen G. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Inter-annual to decadal variability in the strength of the land and ocean carbon sinks impede accurate predictions of year-to-year atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) growth rate. Such information is crucial to verify the ...
    • WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update A Prediction for 2021-25 

      Hermanson, Leon; Smith, Doug; Seabrook, Melissa; Bilbao, Roberto; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Tourigny, Etienne; Lapin, Vladimir; Kharin, Viatcheslav V.; Merryfield, William J.; Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel; Athanasiadis, Panos; Nicoli, Dario; Gualdi, Silvio; Dunstone, Nick; Eade, Rosie; Scaife, Adam; Collier, Mark; O'Kane, Terence; Kitsios, Vassili; Sandery, Paul; Pankatz, Klaus; Früh, Barbara; Pohlmann, Holger; Müller, Wolfgang; Kataoka, Takahito; Tatebe, Hiroaki; Ishii, Masayoshi; Imada, Yukiko; Kruschke, Tim; Koenigk, Torben; Karami, Mehdi Pasha; Yang, Shuting; Tian, Tian; Zhang, Liping; Delworth, Tom; Yang, Xiaosong; Zeng, Fanrong; Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Bethke, Ingo; Lean, Judith; Luterbacher, Jürg; Kolli, Rupa Kumar; Kumar, Arun (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      As climate change accelerates, societies and climate-sensitive socioeconomic sectors cannot continue to rely on the past as a guide to possible future climate hazards. Operational decadal predictions offer the potential ...