• Attribution of multi-annual to decadal changes in the climate system: The Large Ensemble Single Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (LESFMIP) 

      Smith, Doug M.; Gillett, Nathan P.; Simpson, Isla R.; Athanasiadis, Panos J.; Baehr, Johanna; Bethke, Ingo; Bilge, Tarkan Aslan; Bonnet, Rémy; Boucher, Olivier; Findell, Kirsten L.; Gastineau, Guillaume; Gualdi, Silvio; Hermanson, Leon; Leung, L. Ruby; Mignot, Juliette; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Osprey, Scott; Otterå, Odd Helge; Persad, Geeta G.; Scaife, Adam A.; Schmidt, Gavin A.; Shiogama, Hideo; Sutton, Rowan T.; Swingedouw, Didier; Yang, Shuting; Zhou, Tianjun; Ziehn, Tilo (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      Multi-annual to decadal changes in climate are accompanied by changes in extreme events that cause major impacts on society and severe challenges for adaptation. Early warnings of such changes are now potentially possible ...
    • Predictable Variations of the Carbon Sinks and Atmospheric CO2 Growth in a Multi-Model Framework 

      Ilyina, Tatiana; Hongmei, Li; Spring, Aaron; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Bopp, Laurent; Chikamoto, Megumi O.; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Dobrynin, Mikhail; Dunne, John P. Patrick; Fransner, Filippa; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Lee, Woo-Sung; Lovenduski, Nicole; Merryfield, William J.; Mignot, Juliette; Park, Jong-Yeon; Séférian, Roland; Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel; Watanabe, Michio; Yeager, Stephen G. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Inter-annual to decadal variability in the strength of the land and ocean carbon sinks impede accurate predictions of year-to-year atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) growth rate. Such information is crucial to verify the ...
    • Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and their predictive potential along the Atlantic water pathway 

      Langehaug, Helene R.; Ortega, Pablo; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Matei, Daniela; Maroon, Elizabeth A.; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Mignot, Juliette; Wang, Yiguo; Swingedouw, Didier; Bethke, Ingo; Yang, Shuting; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Bellucci, Alessio; Ruggieri, Paolo; Nicoli, D.; Årthun, Marius (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      We assess to what extent seven state-of-the-art dynamical prediction systems can retrospectively predict winter sea surface temperature (SST) in the subpolar North Atlantic and the Nordic seas in the period 1970–2005. We ...
    • Using simulations of the last millennium to understand climate variability seen in palaeo-observations: Similar variation of Iceland-Scotland overflow strength and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation 

      Lohmann, Katja; Mignot, Juliette; Langehaug, Helene Reinertsen; Jungclaus, Johann H.; Matei, Daniela; Otterå, Odd Helge; Gao, Yongqi; Mjell, Tor Lien; Ninnemann, Ulysses Silas; Kleiven, Helga Flesche (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015-02-10)
      A recent palaeo-reconstruction of the strength of the Iceland–Scotland overflow during the last 600 years suggests that its low-frequency variability exhibits strong similarity with palaeo-reconstructions of the Atlantic ...
    • Water mass transformation and the North Atlantic Current in three multi-century climate model simulations 

      Langehaug, Helene Reinertsen; Rhines, Peter B.; Eldevik, Tor; Mignot, Juliette; Lohmann, Katja (Journal article, 2012-11)
      The warm and saline Subtropical Water carried by the North Atlantic Current undergoes substantial transformation on its way to higher latitudes as heat is released from ocean to atmosphere. The geographical distribution ...