• Forced and internal components of observed Arctic sea-ice changes 

      Dörr, Jakob Simon; Bonan, David; Årthun, Marius; Svendsen, Lea; Wills, Robert C.J. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)
      The Arctic sea-ice cover is strongly influenced by internal variability on decadal timescales, affecting both short-term trends and the timing of the first ice-free summer. Several mechanisms of variability have been ...
    • Impacts of Atlantic multi-decadal variability on the Indo-Pacific and Northern Hemisphere climate 

      Svendsen, Lea (Doctoral thesis, 2016-06-03)
      Earlier studies have shown that Atlantic multi-decadal variability (AMY) can impact climate variability globally. However the instrumental records are short compared to the timescale of AMY, and mechanisms for these impacts ...
    • Insights into the quantification and reporting of model-related uncertainty across different disciplines 

      Simmonds, Emily Grace; Dunn-Sigouin, Etienne; Adjei, Kwaku Peprah; Andersen, Christoffer Wold; Aspheim, Janne Cathrin Hetle; Battistin, Claudia; Bulso, Nicola; Christensen, Hannah M.; Cretois, Benjamin; Cubero, Ryan John Abat; Davidovich, Ivan Andres; Dickel, Lisa; Dunn, Benjamin Adric; Dyrstad, Karin; Einum, Sigurd; Giglio, Donata; Gjerløw, Haakon; Godefroidt, Amélie; González-Gil, Ricardo; Gonzalo Cogno, Soledad; Große, Fabian; Halloran, Paul; Jensen, Mari Fjalstad; Kennedy, John James; Langsæther, Peter Egge; Laverick, Jack H; Lederberger, Debora; Li, Camille; Mandeville, Elizabeth G; Mandeville, Caitlin; Moe, Espen; Schröder, Tobias Navarro; Nunan, David; Sicacha-Parada, Jorge; Simpson, Melanie Rae; Skarstein, Emma Sofie; Spensberger, Clemens; Stevens, Richard; Subramanian, Aneesh C.; Svendsen, Lea; Theisen, Ole Magnus; Watret, Connor; O'Hara, Robert B. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      Quantifying uncertainty associated with our models is the only way we can express how much we know about any phenomenon. Incomplete consideration of model-based uncertainties can lead to overstated conclusions with real-world ...
    • Marine-based multiproxy reconstruction of Atlantic multidecadal variability 

      Svendsen, Lea; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014-02-28)
      Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) is known to impact climate globally, and knowledge about the persistence of AMV is important for understanding past and future climate variability, as well as modeling and assessing ...
    • NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP 

      Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Kimmritz, Madlen; Fransner, Filippa; Samuelsen, Annette; Langehaug, Helene R.; Svendsen, Lea; Chiu, Ping-Gin; Passos, Leilane G.; Bentsen, Mats; Guo, Chuncheng; Gupta, Alok Kumar; Tjiputra, Jerry; Kirkevåg, Alf; Oliviè, Dirk Jan Leo; Seland, Øyvind; Vågane, Julie Solsvik; Fan, Yuanchao; Eldevik, Tor (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      The Norwegian Climate Prediction Model version 1 (NorCPM1) is a new research tool for performing climate reanalyses and seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions. It combines the Norwegian Earth System Model version 1 (NorESM1) ...
    • A North-South Contrast of Subsurface Salinity Anomalies in the Northwestern Pacific From 2002 to 2013 

      Yan, Youfang; Svendsen, Lea; Wang, Chunzai; Keenlyside, Noel; Xu, Dazhi (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019-03)
      This paper finds a north‐south contrast of subsurface salinity trend during 2002–2013 in the northwestern Pacific. Both Argo float data and long‐term repeat hydrographic measurements along the 137°E section show that ...
    • Pacific contribution to decadal surface temperature trends in the Arctic during the twentieth century 

      Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Muilwijk, Morven; Bethke, Ingo; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Gao, Yongqi (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Instrumental records suggest multidecadal variability in Arctic surface temperature throughout the twentieth century. This variability is caused by a combination of external forcing and internal variability, but their ...
    • Pacific contribution to the early twentieth-century warming in the Arctic 

      Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo; Gao, Yongqi; Omrani, Nour-Eddine (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2018)
      Arctic surface temperature warmed more than twice as fast as global temperature during the early twentieth century, similar to that during the recent global warming. This Arctic warming has been attributed to both external ...
    • Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF 

      Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Svendsen, Lea; Gleixner, Stephanie; Kimmritz, Madlen; Dai, Panxi; Gao, Yongqi (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019-07-23)
      This study demonstrates that assimilating SST with an advanced data assimilation method yields prediction skill level with the best state-of-the-art systems. We employ the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM)—a ...
    • Tropical Atmospheric Response of Atlantic Niños to Changes in the Ocean Background State 

      Svendsen, Lea; Rodríguez-Fonseca, Belén; Mohino, Elsa; Crespo, Lander Rodriguez; Losada, Teresa (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)
      Since the 1970s, Atlantic Niños during boreal summer have been linked to Pacific La Niñas the following winter. Earlier studies have explained the appearance of the Atlantic-Pacific teleconnection with changing Atlantic ...
    • Weakening of the Atlantic Niño variability under global warming 

      Rodriguez Crespo, Lander; Prigent, Arthur; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Koseki, Shunya; Svendsen, Lea; Richter, Ingo; Sánchez-Gómez, Emilia (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      The Atlantic Niño is one of the most important patterns of interannual tropical climate variability, but how climate change will influence this pattern is not well known due to large climate model biases. Here we show that ...