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dc.contributor.authorLægreid, Ole Martin
dc.contributor.authorCherp, Aleh
dc.contributor.authorJewell, Jessica
dc.date.accessioned2023-12-21T12:34:58Z
dc.date.available2023-12-21T12:34:58Z
dc.date.created2023-10-12T13:43:16Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.identifier.issn2752-5082
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11250/3108589
dc.description.abstractTransitioning to net-zero carbon emissions requires phasing-out unabated coal power; however, recently it has only been declining in some countries, while it stagnated or even increased in others. Where and under what circumstances, has coal capacity reached its peak and begun to decline? We address this question with an empirical analysis of coal capacity in 56 countries, accounting for 99% of coal generation in the world. The peaks in national coal power have been equally spread per decade since 1970. The peaks are more likely to occur in country-years with high levels of electoral democracy, higher GDP per capita, slower electricity demand growth, and with low levels of political corruption. Normally, peaking coal power preceded rather than followed political coal phase-out pledges, often with long time lags. We conclude that though the cost of coal alternatives are declining and concerns over climate change increasing, coal power does not automatically peak even in situations with low demand growth, aging power plants and high import dependence. A quick and decisive destabilization of coal regimes requires, in addition, having sufficient economic capacities and strong democratic governance.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.rightsNavngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.no*
dc.titleCoal phase-out pledges follow peak coal: evidence from 60 years of growth and decline in coal power capacity worldwideen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US
dc.description.versionpublishedVersionen_US
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2023 The Author(s)en_US
dc.source.articlenumberoiad009en_US
cristin.ispublishedtrue
cristin.fulltextoriginal
cristin.qualitycode1
dc.identifier.doi10.1093/ooenergy/oiad009
dc.identifier.cristin2184142
dc.source.journalOxford Open Energyen_US
dc.identifier.citationOxford Open Energy. 2023, 2, oiad009.en_US
dc.source.volume2en_US


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Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal