Browsing Department of Comparative Politics by Author "Arnesen, Sveinung"
Now showing items 1-8 of 8
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Conditional Legitimacy: How Turnout, Majority Size and Outcome Affect Perceptions of Legitimacy in EU Membership Referendums
Arnesen, Sveinung; Saghaug Broderstad, Troy; Johannesson, Mikael Poul; Linde, Jonas (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019)This conjoint study investigates the type of mandate a referendum confers in the political decision-making process. While a majority of citizens in general believe that the government should follow the results of a referendum ... -
Do citizens make inferences from political candidate characteristics when aiming for substantive representation?
Arnesen, Sveinung; Duell, Dominik; Johannesson, Mikael Poul (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019)We elicit citizens' preferences over hypothetical candidates by applying conjoint survey experiments within a probability-based online panel of the Norwegian electorate. Our experimental treatments differ in whether citizens ... -
Do Polls Influence Opinions? Investigating Poll Feedback Loops Using the Novel Dynamic Response Feedback Experimental Procedure
Arnesen, Sveinung; Johannesson, Mikael Poul; Linde, Jonas; Dahlberg, Stefan (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2017)Opinion polls may inadvertently affect public opinion, as people may change their attitudes after learning what others think. A disconcerting possibility is that opinion polls have the ability to create information cascades, ... -
How prediction markets help us understand events‘ impact on the vote in US Presidential Elections
Arnesen, Sveinung (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2011)In this paper we argue that pre-election polls and prediction markets reflect two different processes which, by analyzing them together, can help us understand if and how key events which occur during an election campaign ... -
Leaping into the unknown: Comparing, testing, and applying methods of predicting elections
Arnesen, Sveinung (Doctoral thesis, 2012-05-11)The purpose of this dissertation is to compare, test, and apply methods of predicting election outcomes. It discusses the premises of the predictions and what kind of information is gathered and processed to form expectations ... -
The Legitimacy of Representation: How Descriptive, Formal, and Responsiveness Representation Affect the Acceptability of Political Decisions
Peters, Yvette; Arnesen, Sveinung (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2017)We examine how descriptive representation, formal representation, and responsiveness affect the legitimacy of political decisions: Who are the representatives, how are they selected, what is the outcome of the decision-making ... -
Out of work and out of office: The golden mix for left bloc support in Norway
Arnesen, Sveinung (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2013)Across established democracies, the relationship between the economy and party choice is robust. In efforts to test the relationship further, forecasting models based on economic and political variables have been constructed ... -
Påvirker innvandringsscenarier nordmenns holdninger til innvandrere? Et surveyeksperiment
Christensen, Dag Arne; Arnesen, Sveinung; Midtbø, Tor (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019)Er nordmenns forventninger om størrelsen på fremtidig innvandring med på å påvirke deres holdninger til innvandrere? Eksperimenter fra USA viser at eksponering for framskrivninger der den hvite delen av befolkningen ender ...