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dc.contributor.authorLe Quéré, Corinne
dc.contributor.authorMoriarty, Roisin
dc.contributor.authorAndrew, Robbie
dc.contributor.authorPeters, Glen Philip
dc.contributor.authorCiais, Philippe
dc.contributor.authorFriedlingstein, Pierre
dc.contributor.authorJones, Samantha D.
dc.contributor.authorSitch, Stephen
dc.contributor.authorTans, Pieter
dc.contributor.authorArneth, Almut
dc.contributor.authorBoden, Thomas A.
dc.contributor.authorBopp, Laurent
dc.contributor.authorBozec, Yann
dc.contributor.authorCanadell, Josep G.
dc.contributor.authorChini, Louise P.
dc.contributor.authorChevallier, Frédéric
dc.contributor.authorCosca, Cathrine E.
dc.contributor.authorHarris, Ian C.
dc.contributor.authorHoppema, Mario
dc.contributor.authorHoughton, Richard A.
dc.contributor.authorHouse, Joanna I.
dc.contributor.authorJain, Atul K.
dc.contributor.authorJohannessen, Truls
dc.contributor.authorKato, Etsushi
dc.contributor.authorKeeling, Ralph F.
dc.contributor.authorKitidis, Vassilis
dc.contributor.authorKlein Goldewijk, Kees
dc.contributor.authorKoven, Charles D.
dc.contributor.authorLanda, Camilla Stegen
dc.contributor.authorLandschützer, Peter
dc.contributor.authorLenton, Andrew
dc.contributor.authorLima, Ivan D.
dc.contributor.authorMarland, Gregg
dc.contributor.authorMathis, Jeremy T.
dc.contributor.authorMetzl, Nicolas
dc.contributor.authorNojiri, Yukihiro
dc.contributor.authorOlsen, Are
dc.contributor.authorOno, Tsuneo
dc.contributor.authorPeng, Shushi
dc.contributor.authorPeters, Wouter
dc.contributor.authorPfeil, Benjamin
dc.contributor.authorPoulter, Benjamin
dc.contributor.authorRaupach, Michael R.
dc.contributor.authorRegnier, Pierre
dc.contributor.authorRödenbeck, Christian
dc.contributor.authorSaito, Shu
dc.contributor.authorSalisbury, Joseph E.
dc.contributor.authorSchuster, Ute
dc.contributor.authorSchwinger, Jörg
dc.contributor.authorSéférian, Roland
dc.contributor.authorSegschneider, Joachim
dc.contributor.authorSteinhoff, Tobias
dc.contributor.authorStocker, Benjamin D.
dc.contributor.authorSutton, Adrienne J.
dc.contributor.authorTakahashi, Taro
dc.contributor.authorTilbrook, Bronte
dc.contributor.authorvan der Werf, Guido R.
dc.contributor.authorViovy, Nicolas
dc.contributor.authorWang, Yingping
dc.contributor.authorWanninkhof, Rik
dc.contributor.authorWiltshire, Andrew J.
dc.contributor.authorZeng, Ning
dc.PublishedEarth System Science Data 2015, 7(1):47-85eng
dc.description.abstractAccurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere is important to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change. Here we describe data sets and a methodology to quantify all major components of the global carbon budget, including their uncertainties, based on the combination of a range of data, algorithms, statistics, and model estimates and their interpretation by a broad scientific community. We discuss changes compared to previous estimates, consistency within and among components, alongside methodology and data limitations. CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion and cement production (EFF) are based on energy statistics and cement production data, respectively, while emissions from land-use change (ELUC), mainly deforestation, are based on combined evidence from land-cover-change data, fire activity associated with deforestation, and models. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration is measured directly and its rate of growth (GATM) is computed from the annual changes in concentration. The mean ocean CO2 sink (SOCEAN) is based on observations from the 1990s, while the annual anomalies and trends are estimated with ocean models. The variability in SOCEAN is evaluated with data products based on surveys of ocean CO2 measurements. The global residual terrestrial CO2 sink (SLAND) is estimated by the difference of the other terms of the global carbon budget and compared to results of independent dynamic global vegetation models forced by observed climate, CO2, and land-cover-change (some including nitrogen–carbon interactions). We compare the mean land and ocean fluxes and their variability to estimates from three atmospheric inverse methods for three broad latitude bands. All uncertainties are reported as ±1σ, reflecting the current capacity to characterise the annual estimates of each component of the global carbon budget. For the last decade available (2004–2013), EFF was 8.9 ± 0.4 GtC yr−1, ELUC 0.9 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1, GATM 4.3 ± 0.1 GtC yr−1, SOCEAN 2.6 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1, and SLAND 2.9 ± 0.8 GtC yr−1. For year 2013 alone, EFF grew to 9.9 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1, 2.3% above 2012, continuing the growth trend in these emissions, ELUC was 0.9 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1, GATM was 5.4 ± 0.2 GtC yr−1, SOCEAN was 2.9 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1, and SLAND was 2.5 ± 0.9 GtC yr−1. GATM was high in 2013, reflecting a steady increase in EFF and smaller and opposite changes between SOCEAN and SLAND compared to the past decade (2004–2013). The global atmospheric CO2 concentration reached 395.31 ± 0.10 ppm averaged over 2013. We estimate that EFF will increase by 2.5% (1.3–3.5%) to 10.1 ± 0.6 GtC in 2014 (37.0 ± 2.2 GtCO2 yr−1), 65% above emissions in 1990, based on projections of world gross domestic product and recent changes in the carbon intensity of the global economy. From this projection of EFF and assumed constant ELUC for 2014, cumulative emissions of CO2 will reach about 545 ± 55 GtC (2000 ± 200 GtCO2) for 1870–2014, about 75% from EFF and 25% from ELUC. This paper documents changes in the methods and data sets used in this new carbon budget compared with previous publications of this living data set (Le Quéré et al., 2013, 2014). All observations presented here can be downloaded from the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (doi:10.3334/CDIAC/GCP_2014).en_US
dc.publisherCopernicus Publicationsen_US
dc.rightsThis work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.eng
dc.titleGlobal carbon budget 2014en_US
dc.typePeer reviewed
dc.typeJournal article
dc.rights.holderCopyright The Author(s).en_US
dc.relation.projectNorges forskningsråd: 236296
dc.relation.projectEU: 264879
dc.relation.projectNotur/NorStore: nn2980k, ns2980k
dc.subject.nsiVDP::Matematikk og naturvitenskap: 400::Zoologiske og botaniske fag: 480::Økologi: 488
dc.subject.nsiVDP::Mathematics and natural scienses: 400::Zoology and botany: 480::Ecology: 488

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