Blar i Centre for the Study of the Sciences and the Humanities (SVT) på forfatter "Lo Piano, Samuele"

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    • The Challenge of Quantification: An Interdisciplinary Reading 

      Di Fiore, Monica; Kuc-Czarnecka, Marta; Lo Piano, Samuele; Maeso, Arnald Puy; Saltelli, Andrea (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      The present work looks at what we call “the multiverse of quantification”, where visible and invisible numbers permeate all aspects and venues of life. We review the contributions of different authors who focus on the roles ...

    • Current models underestimate future irrigated areas 

      Saltelli, Andrea; Puy, Arnald; Lo Piano, Samuele (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      Predictions of global irrigated areas are widely used to guide strategies that aim to secure environmental welfare and manage climate change. Here we show that these predictions, which range between 240 and 450 million ...

    • The Future of Sensitivity Analysis: An essential discipline for systems modeling and policy support 

      Razavi, Saman; Jakeman, Anthony; Saltelli, Andrea; Prieur, Clémentine; Iooss, Bertrand; Borgonovo, Emanuele; Plischke, Elmar; Lo Piano, Samuele; Iwanaga, Takuya; Becker, William; Tarantola, Stefano; Guillaume, Joseph H.A.; Jakeman, John; Gupta, Hoshin; Melillo, Nicola; Rabitti, Giovanni; Chabridon, Vincent; Duan, Qingyun; Sun, Xifu; Smith, Stefán; Sheikholeslami, Razi; Hosseini, Nasim; Asadzadeh, Masoud; Puy, Arnald; Kucherenko, Sergei; Maier, Holger R. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Sensitivity analysis (SA) is en route to becoming an integral part of mathematical modeling. The tremendous potential benefits of SA are, however, yet to be fully realized, both for advancing mechanistic and data-driven ...

    • Irrigated areas drive irrigation water withdrawals 

      Maeso, Arnald Puy; Borgonovo, Emanuele; Lo Piano, Samuele; Levin, Simon A.; Saltelli, Andrea (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      A sustainable management of global freshwater resources requires reliable estimates of the water demanded by irrigated agriculture. This has been attempted by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) through country ...

    • Is VARS more intuitive and efficient than Sobol’ indices? 

      Maeso, Arnald Puy; Lo Piano, Samuele; Saltelli, Andrea (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      The Variogram Analysis of Response Surfaces (VARS) has been proposed by Razavi and Gupta as a new comprehensive framework in sensitivity analysis. According to these authors, VARS provides a more intuitive notion of ...

    • Models with higher effective dimensions tend to produce more uncertain estimates 

      Maeso, Arnald Puy; Beneventano, Pierfrancesco; Levin, Simon A.; Lo Piano, Samuele; Portaluri, Tommaso; Saltelli, Andrea (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      Mathematical models are getting increasingly detailed to better predict phenomena or gain more accurate insights into the dynamics of a system of interest, even when there are no validation or training data available. Here, ...

    • Quantitative Storytelling in the Making of a Composite Indicator 

      Kuc‑Czarnecka, Marta; Lo Piano, Samuele; Saltelli, Andrea (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      The reasons for and against composite indicators are briefly reviewed, as well as the available theories for their construction. After noting the strong normative dimension of these measures—which ultimately aim to ‘tell ...

    • A sensitivity analysis of the PAWN sensitivity index 

      Puy, Arnald; Lo Piano, Samuele; Saltelli, Andrea (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      The PAWN index is gaining traction among the modelling community as a sensitivity measure. However, the robustness to its design parameters has not yet been scrutinized: the size (𝑁) and sampling (𝜀) of the model output, ...

    • Silver as a Constraint for a Large-Scale Development of Solar Photovoltaics? Scenario-Making to the Year 2050 Supported by Expert Engagement and Global Sensitivity Analysis 

      Lo Piano, Samuele; Saltelli, Andrea; van der Sluijs, Jeroen P (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2019-06-14)
      In this study we assess whether availability of silver could constrain a large-scale deployment of solar photovoltaics (PV). While silver-paste use in photovoltaics cell metallization is becoming more efficient, solar ...

    • Unpacking the modeling process for energy policy making 

      Lo Piano, Samuele; Lőrincz, Máté János; Puy, Arnald; Pye, Steve; Saltelli, Andrea; Smith, Stefán Thor; van der Sluijs, Jeroen P (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)
      This article explores how the modeling of energy systems may lead to an undue closure of alternatives by generating an excess of certainty around some of the possible policy options. We retrospectively exemplify the problem ...

    • Unpacking the modelling process via sensitivity auditing 

      Lo Piano, Samuele; Sheikholeslami, Razi; Maeso, Arnald Puy; Saltelli, Andrea (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      Acknowledging the conditionality of model-based evidence facilitates the dialogue between model developers and model users, especially when models are used to guide decisions at the science-policy interface. In general, ...