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Impact of peak oil and food based biofuel production on long-term food security. A dynamic policy model

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dc.contributor.author Sandvik, Sven
dc.date.accessioned 2009-07-02T07:59:18Z
dc.date.available 2009-07-02T07:59:18Z
dc.date.issued 2008-06-10
dc.date.submitted 2008-06-10 en
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/1956/3308
dc.description.abstract It would, for the sake of food security, be rational to start an agricultural transition to a system less dependant on fossil fuels in good time before a possible energy crisis. It therefore seems a paradox that policy makers choose to do the opposite; establish an additional link between the food and energy market through subsidization of food based biofuel production, thus putting food security even more at the mercy of energy supply. The dynamic policy model presented in this thesis illustrates how growth in food based biofuel production enhances the link between the energy and food market. An alternative policy example is developed and tested using the model to simulate future scenarios. The model simulations suggest the current policy of supporting food based biofuel, combined with a peak in oil production, could lay the foundation of a future food crisis and that an alternative policy needs to be implemented as quickly as possible; most importantly, before policy makers receive feedback signals in the form of a continuous rising food price trend. en
dc.format.extent 480023 bytes en
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf en
dc.language.iso eng en
dc.publisher The University of Bergen en
dc.rights Copyright the author. All rights reserved en
dc.subject Food security en
dc.subject Energy security en
dc.subject Biofuel en
dc.subject Peak oil en
dc.subject System dynamics en
dc.subject Policy model en
dc.subject Simulation en
dc.subject Sustainable development en
dc.title Impact of peak oil and food based biofuel production on long-term food security. A dynamic policy model en
dc.type Master thesis
dc.type.degree Master en
dc.type.course GEO-SD350 no
dc.subject.nsi VDP::Samfunnsvitenskap: 200::Samfunnsgeografi: 290 no
dc.rightsHolder The author en
dc.subject.archivecode Mastergrad
dc.subject.nus 753907
dc.type.program MASV-SYSDY no


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