Bergen Open Research Archive

Planning for an elderly boom; A System Dynamics Approach to strategic healthcare planning in Bergen, Norway

Bergen Open Research Archive

Show simple item record Trellevik, Lars-Kristian Dahl 2009-07-02T08:40:59Z 2009-07-02T08:40:59Z 2008-06-09 2008-06-09 en
dc.description.abstract The thesis addresses the future development and potential future scenarios of the geriatric health care situation in the city of Bergen. Due to population dynamics and demographic processes the city of Bergen may expect increasing pressure on the geriatric care services. A system dynamics model is presented; The Geriatric Healthcare Projection Model is employed to project potential future scenarios in the geriatric health care sector. The Geriatric Healthcare Projection Model consists of an underlying population model and model components simulating geriatric nurses, clients and infrastructure. The model is applied in policy testing of potential future strategies to counter the rising demands for geriatric care. The thesis reveals that there are major challenges ahead and that the city of Bergen must move quickly to be able to face these challenges. Long delays in public policy making and implementation are identified as a significant problem when attempting to accommodate accelerating care demands in the population. The thesis also investigates the effects of introducing a private sector in geriatric care services. It appears that a private alternative may hold virtue and afford a relief of pressure on the public sector but may also lead to declining tendencies in the public geriatric health care sector. en
dc.format.extent 3167087 bytes en
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf en
dc.language.iso eng en
dc.publisher The University of Bergen en
dc.rights Copyright the author. All rights reserved en
dc.subject Healthcare en
dc.subject Population dynamics en
dc.subject Demography en
dc.subject Geriatric care en
dc.subject System dynamics en
dc.subject Modelling en
dc.title Planning for an elderly boom; A System Dynamics Approach to strategic healthcare planning in Bergen, Norway en
dc.type Master thesis Master en
dc.type.course GEO-SD350 no
dc.subject.nsi VDP::Samfunnsvitenskap: 200::Samfunnsgeografi: 290 no
dc.rightsHolder The author en
dc.subject.archivecode Mastergrad
dc.subject.nus 753907
dc.type.program MASV-SYSDY no

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