Blar i Geophysical Institute på forfatter "Keenlyside, Noel"

Viser treff 41-54 av 54

    • Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the tropical Atlantic 

      Voldoire, Aurore; Exarchou, Eleftheria; Sánchez-Gómez, Emilia; Demissie, Teferi Dejene; Deppenmeier, Anna-Lena; Frauen, Claudia; Goubanova, Katarina; Hazeleger, Wilco; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya; Prodhomme, Chloé; Shonk, Jonathan; Toniazzo, Thomas; Traoré, Abdoul-Khadre (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2019-03-13)
      Coupled climate models used for long-term future climate projections and seasonal or decadal predictions share a systematic and persistent warm sea surface temperature (SST) bias in the tropical Atlantic. This study attempts ...

    • A Satellite Era Warming Hole in the Equatorial Atlantic Ocean 

      Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Latif, Mojib; Keenlyside, Noel; Park, Wonsun (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      Observations during the satellite era 1979–2018 only depict small sea surface temperature (SST) trends over the Equatorial Atlantic cold tongue region in boreal summer. This lack of surface warming of the cold tongue, ...

    • Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models 

      Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel; Demissie, Teferi Dejene; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo; Viste, Ellen (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2017)
      The Ethiopian economy and population is strongly dependent on rainfall. Operational seasonal predictions for the main rainy season (Kiremt, June–September) are based on statistical approaches with Pacific sea surface ...

    • Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF 

      Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Svendsen, Lea; Gleixner, Stephanie; Kimmritz, Madlen; Dai, Panxi; Gao, Yongqi (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019-07-23)
      This study demonstrates that assimilating SST with an advanced data assimilation method yields prediction skill level with the best state-of-the-art systems. We employ the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM)—a ...

    • Seasonal-to-decadal predictions with the ensemble kalman filter and the Norwegian earth System Model: A twin experiment 

      Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel; Bentsen, Mats; Bertino, Laurent; Zheng, Fei (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2014-03-10)
      Here, we firstly demonstrate the potential of an advanced flow dependent data assimilation method for performing seasonal-to-decadal prediction and secondly, reassess the use of sea surface temperature (SST) for initialisation ...

    • Significant multidecadal variability in German wind energy generation 

      Wohland, Jan; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel; Witthaut, Dirk (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019-09-12)
      Wind energy has seen large deployment and substantial cost reductions over the last decades. Further ambitious upscaling is urgently needed to keep the goals of the Paris Agreement within reach. While the variability in ...

    • Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean 

      Årthun, Marius; Eldevik, Tor; Viste, Ellen; Drange, Helge; Furevik, Tore; Johnson, Helen L.; Keenlyside, Noel (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2017-06-20)
      It is commonly understood that a potential for skillful climate prediction resides in the ocean. It nevertheless remains unresolved to what extent variable ocean heat is imprinted on the atmosphere to realize its predictive ...

    • Supermodeling: Synchronization of Alternative Dynamical Models of a Single Objective Process 

      Duane, Gregory; Wiegerinck, Wim; Selten, Frank; Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel (Chapter, 2018)
      Imperfect models of the same objective process give an improved representation of that process, from which they assimilate data, if they are also coupled to one another. Inter-model coupling, through nudging, or more ...

    • Thermodynamic controls of the Atlantic Niño 

      Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Li, Jianping; Kucharski, Fred; Kang, In-Sik; Keenlyside, Noel; Chang, Ping; Farneti, Riccardo (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2015-11-26)
      Prevailing theories on the equatorial Atlantic Niño are based on the dynamical interaction between atmosphere and ocean. However, dynamical coupled ocean-atmosphere models poorly simulate and predict equatorial Atlantic ...

    • Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability 

      Årthun, Marius; Kolstad, Erik Wilhelm; Eldevik, Tor; Keenlyside, Noel (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2018-04)
      Skillful predictions of continental climate would be of great practical benefit for society and stakeholders. It nevertheless remains fundamentally unresolved to what extent climate is predictable, for what features, at ...

    • The tropical Atlantic observing system 

      Foltź, Gregory R.; Brandt, Peter; Richter, Ingo; Rodriguez-fonseca, Belen; Hernandez, Fabrice; Dengler, Marcus; Rodrigues, Regina R.; Schmidt, Jörn O.; Yu, Lisan; Lefevre, Nathalie; Da Cunha, Leticia Cotrim; McPhaden, Michael J.; Araujo Filho, Moacyr C.; Karstensen, Johannes; Hahn, Johannes; Martín-Rey, Marta; Patricola, Christina M.; Poli, Paul; Zuidema, Paquita; Hummels, Rebecca; Perez, Renellys C.; Hatje, Vanessa; Lübbecke, Joke; Polo, Irene; Lumpkin, Rick; Bourles, Bernard; Asuquo, Francis E.; Lehodey, Patrick; Conchon, Anna; Chang, Ping; Dandin, Philippe; Schmid, Claudia; Sutton, Adrienne J.; Giordani, Herve; Xue, Yan; Illig, Serena; Losada, Teresa; Grodsky, Semyon; Gasparin, Florent; Lee, Tong; Mohino, Elsa; Nobre, Paulo; Wanninkhof, Rik; Keenlyside, Noel; Garcon, Veronique; Sánchez-Gómez, Emilia; Nnamchi, Hyacinth C.; Drévillon, Marie; Storto, Andrea; Remy, Elisabeth; Lazar, Alban; Speich, Sabrina; Goes, Marlos P.; Dorrington, Tarquin; Johns, William E.; Moum, James N.; Robinson, Carol; Perruche, Coralie; Souza, Ronald B.; Gaye, Amadou; López-Parages, Jorge; Monerie, Paul-Arthur; Castellanos, Paola; Benson, Nsikak U.; Hounkonnou, Mahouton N.; Duhá, Janice T.; Laxenaire, Rémi; Reul, Nicolas (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019-05-10)
      The tropical Atlantic is home to multiple coupled climate variations covering a wide range of timescales and impacting societally relevant phenomena such as continental rainfall, Atlantic hurricane activity, oceanic ...

    • Twenty-One Years of Phytoplankton Bloom Phenology in the Barents, Norwegian, and North Seas 

      Silva, Edson; Counillon, François; Brajard, Julien; Korosov, Anton; Pettersson, Lasse H; Samuelsen, Annette; Keenlyside, Noel (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Phytoplankton blooms provide biomass to the marine trophic web, contribute to the carbon removal from the atmosphere and can be deadly when associated with harmful species. This points to the need to understand the phenology ...

    • Uncertainty in twenty-first century projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models 

      Reintges, Annika; Martin, Thomas; Latif, Mojib; Keenlyside, Noel (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2016-05-26)
      Uncertainty in the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is analyzed in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) and Phase 5 (CMIP5) projections for the twenty-first century; ...

    • Weakening Atlantic Niño-Pacific connection under greenhouse warming 

      Jia, Fan; Cai, Wenju; Wu, Lixin; Gan, Bolan; Wang, Guojian; Kucharski, Fred; Chang, Ping; Keenlyside, Noel (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019-08-21)
      Sea surface temperature variability in the equatorial eastern Atlantic, which is referred to as an Atlantic Niño (Niña) at its warm (cold) phase and peaks in boreal summer, dominates the interannual variability in the ...