• Decadal prediction centers prepare for a major volcanic eruption 

      Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel; Merryfield, William J.; Toohey, Matthew; Timmreck, Claudia; Vernier, Jean-Paul; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Bilbao, Roberto; Donat, Markus G.; Ortega, Pablo; Cole, Jason; Lee, Woo-Sung; Delworth, Thomas L.; Paynter, David; Zeng, Fanrong; Zhang, Liping; Khodri, Myriam; Mignot, Juliette; Swingedouw, Didier; Torres, Olivier; Shuai, Hu; Man, Wenmin; Zuo, Meng; Hermanson, Leon; Smith, Doug; Kataoka, Takahito; Tatebe, Hiroaki (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2024)
      The World Meteorological Organization’s Lead Centre for Annual-to-Decadal Climate Prediction issues operational forecasts annually as guidance for regional climate centers, climate outlook forums, and national meteorological ...
    • WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update A Prediction for 2021-25 

      Hermanson, Leon; Smith, Doug; Seabrook, Melissa; Bilbao, Roberto; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Tourigny, Etienne; Lapin, Vladimir; Kharin, Viatcheslav V.; Merryfield, William J.; Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel; Athanasiadis, Panos; Nicoli, Dario; Gualdi, Silvio; Dunstone, Nick; Eade, Rosie; Scaife, Adam; Collier, Mark; O'Kane, Terence; Kitsios, Vassili; Sandery, Paul; Pankatz, Klaus; Früh, Barbara; Pohlmann, Holger; Müller, Wolfgang; Kataoka, Takahito; Tatebe, Hiroaki; Ishii, Masayoshi; Imada, Yukiko; Kruschke, Tim; Koenigk, Torben; Karami, Mehdi Pasha; Yang, Shuting; Tian, Tian; Zhang, Liping; Delworth, Tom; Yang, Xiaosong; Zeng, Fanrong; Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Bethke, Ingo; Lean, Judith; Luterbacher, Jürg; Kolli, Rupa Kumar; Kumar, Arun (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      As climate change accelerates, societies and climate-sensitive socioeconomic sectors cannot continue to rely on the past as a guide to possible future climate hazards. Operational decadal predictions offer the potential ...