| dc.description.abstract | This research focuses on the representation of the population dynamics of cetaceans in the Black Sea. The impact of a full-scale Russian invasion is also taken into account. With the help of the approach of System Dynamics, it becomes realistic to estimate the behavior of the population dynamics, and if it is possible to return to the pre-war state. Therefore, during the work, Stella Architect was used to build a CLD diagram in order to understand the main variables, their relationships, and their behavior. Subsequently, a comprehensive model was built that covers the various factors affecting cetacean populations in the Black Sea. Major variables include: water pollution, habitat state, changes in food distribution, and other factors related to military activity. The results make it possible to analyze the impact of military activity on the population of cetaceans in the Black Sea. The main indicator is the number of cetaceans in the Black Sea. After the research, it was found that within 50 years after the beginning of the invasion, the restoration of the population of Black Sea cetaceans to the pre-war state is real. The study provides grounds for the further development of strategies for the protection and management of cetaceans in the Black Sea, in particular in the context of the impact of military conflicts. This model is only the beginning of this research, and further in-depth study of this topic will allow obtaining more realistic results | |
