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dc.contributor.authorNikolioudakis, Nikolaos
dc.contributor.authorSkaug, Hans J.
dc.contributor.authorOlafsdottir, Anna H.
dc.contributor.authorJansen, Teunis
dc.contributor.authorJacobsen, Jan Arge
dc.contributor.authorEnberg, Katja
dc.PublishedNikolioudakis NN, Skaug HJ, Olafsdottir AH, Jansen T, Jacobsen JA, Enberg K. Drivers of the summer-distribution of Northeast Atlantic mackerel (Scomber scombrus) in the Nordic Seas from 2011 to 2017; a Bayesian hierarchical modelling approach. ICES Journal of Marine Science. 2019;76(2):530-548eng
dc.description.abstractIdentifying factors that are statistically correlated with the geographical distribution dynamics of a species can facilitate our understanding of causal physiological and ecological relationships. Northeast Atlantic (NEA) mackerel is a species of great economic and ecological importance, whose habitat expansion in the last decade has altered the biomass dynamics in the pelagic realm of the Nordic Seas. We highlight drivers that may have regulated the geographical distribution of NEA mackerel during summers, from 2011 to 2017, by fitting Bayesian hierarchical spatiotemporal models on data obtained during the International Ecosystem Summer Survey in the Nordic Seas. Temperature in the upper 50 m of the water column, food availability (approximated by mesozooplankton biomass), a proxy of herring abundance and longitude were the main factors influencing both the catch rates (proxy for fish density) and the occurrence of NEA mackerel. Stock size was not found to directly influence the distribution of the species; however, catch rates in higher latitudes during years of increased stock size were lower. Additionally, we highlight the improved performance of models with spatiotemporal covariance structures, thus providing a useful tool towards elucidating the complex ecological interactions of the pelagic ecosystem of the Nordic Seas.en_US
dc.publisherOxford University Pressen_US
dc.rightsAttribution CC BYeng
dc.subjectrange expansioneng
dc.subjectspecies distribution modelseng
dc.titleDrivers of the summer-distribution of Northeast Atlantic mackerel (Scomber scombrus) in the Nordic Seas from 2011 to 2017; a Bayesian hierarchical modelling approachen_US
dc.typePeer reviewed
dc.typeJournal article
dc.rights.holderCopyright International Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2018en_US
dc.source.journalICES Journal of Marine Science
dc.relation.projectNorges forskningsråd: 243895

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