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dc.contributor.authorKopainsky, Birgit
dc.contributor.authorGerber, Andreas
dc.contributor.authorLara Arango, David
dc.contributor.authorNyanga, Progress Hanzwida
dc.date.accessioned2020-05-04T12:59:03Z
dc.date.available2020-05-04T12:59:03Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.PublishedKopainsky B, Gerber A, Lara Arango D, Nyanga P.H. Short-term versus long-term decision trade-offs: Evidence from a model-based observational experiment with African small-scale farmers. Systems research and behavioral science. 2019;36(2):215-228eng
dc.identifier.issn1092-7026
dc.identifier.issn1099-1743
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1956/22081
dc.descriptionUnder embargo until: 2021-03-18en_US
dc.description.abstractSmallholder farmers in sub‐Saharan Africa recurrently face situations of complex and dynamic decision trade‐offs. Short‐term‐oriented activities such as fertilizer application help to cover immediate food needs but compromise on future food production. Long‐term‐oriented production activities such as building up soil fertility are important systemic leverage points; however, they compromise on today's harvests. This article uses a semicomputerized observational experiment in Zambia to investigate farm management decision making with conflicting production objectives in a dynamic context. The results reveal that, overall, Zambian smallholder farmers have a strong and significant preference for short‐term‐oriented production activities, which leads to a suboptimal performance in production in the long term. A mind shift towards more long‐term‐oriented production activities is required to sustainably increase food production. Our findings point at two things in this regard: First, we identify decision rules that successful performers have applied and that should be the basis for capacity building strategies. Second, we indicate that our approach itself contributed to recognition of the importance of a longer term perspective.en_US
dc.language.isoengeng
dc.publisherWileyeng
dc.titleShort-term versus long-term decision trade-offs: Evidence from a model-based observational experiment with African small-scale farmerseng
dc.typePeer revieweden_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.date.updated2019-12-20T17:55:37Z
dc.description.versionacceptedVersion
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.en_US
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1002/sres.2582
dc.identifier.cristin1722216
dc.source.journalSystems research and behavioral science


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