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dc.contributor.authorDörr, Jakob Simon
dc.contributor.authorÅrthun, Marius
dc.contributor.authorEldevik, Tor
dc.contributor.authorMadonna, Erica
dc.date.accessioned2022-04-12T08:02:06Z
dc.date.available2022-04-12T08:02:06Z
dc.date.created2021-10-27T13:20:08Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.identifier.issn0894-8755
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11250/2991007
dc.description.abstractThe Arctic winter sea ice cover is in retreat overlaid by large internal variability. Changes to sea ice are driven by exchange of heat, momentum, and freshwater within and between the ocean and the atmosphere. Using a combination of observations and output from the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble, we analyze and contrast present and future drivers of the regional winter sea ice cover. Consistent with observations and previous studies, we find that for the recent decades ocean heat transport though the Barents Sea and Bering Strait is a major source of sea ice variability in the Atlantic and Pacific sectors of the Arctic, respectively. Future projections show a gradually expanding footprint of Pacific and Atlantic inflows highlighting the importance of future Atlantification and Pacification of the Arctic Ocean. While the dominant hemispheric modes of winter atmospheric circulation are only weakly connected to the sea ice, we find distinct local atmospheric circulation patterns associated with present and future regional sea ice variability in the Atlantic and Pacific sectors, consistent with heat and moisture transport from lower latitudes. Even if the total freshwater input from rivers is projected to increase substantially, its influence on simulated sea ice is small in the context of internal variability.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherAMSen_US
dc.rightsNavngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.no*
dc.titleMechanisms of regional winter sea-ice variability in a warming arcticen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US
dc.description.versionpublishedVersionen_US
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2021 American Meteorological Societyen_US
cristin.ispublishedtrue
cristin.fulltextoriginal
cristin.qualitycode2
dc.identifier.doi10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0149.1
dc.identifier.cristin1948906
dc.source.journalJournal of Climateen_US
dc.source.pagenumber8635-8653en_US
dc.relation.projectEC/H2020/727852en_US
dc.relation.projectNorges forskningsråd: 276730en_US
dc.relation.projectTrond Mohn stiftelse: BFS2018TMT01en_US
dc.identifier.citationJournal of Climate. 2021, 34 (21), 8635-8653.en_US
dc.source.volume34en_US
dc.source.issue21en_US


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