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Scientific truth or debate: On the link between perceived scientific consensus and belief in anthropogenic climate change

Bertoldo, Raquel; Mays, Claire; Böhm, Gisela; Poortinga, Wouter; Poumadère, Marc; Arnold, Annika; Tvinnereim, Endre; Steentjes, Katharine; Pidgeon, Nick
Peer reviewed, Journal article
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URI
https://hdl.handle.net/1956/22095
Date
2019
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  • Department of Psychosocial Science [623]
Original version
https://doi.org/10.1177/0963662519865448
Abstract
Scientists overwhelmingly agree that climate change exists and is caused by human activity. It has been argued that communicating the consensus can counter climate scepticism, given that perceived scientific consensus is a major factor predicting public belief that climate change is anthropogenic. However, individuals may hold different models of science, potentially affecting their interpretation of scientific consensus. Using representative surveys in the United Kingdom, France, Germany and Norway, we assessed whether the relationship between perceived scientific consensus and belief in anthropogenic climate change is conditioned by a person’s viewing science as ‘the search for truth’ or as ‘debate’. Results show that perceived scientific consensus is higher among climate change believers and moreover, significantly predicts belief in anthropogenic climate change. This relationship is stronger among people holding a model of science as the ‘search for truth’. These results help to disentangle the effect of implicit epistemological assumptions underlying the public understanding of the climate change debate.
Publisher
SAGE
Journal
Public Understanding of Science
Copyright
Copyright 2019 The Author(s)

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